COMMENT: WiMax works, even if the policy doesn't

While Helen Coonan and DCITA might be able to confidently assert that the legalities and processes behind the $958m Broadband Connect Opel funding were all above aboard, it certainly all comes across as rather opaque and cloudy to the interested outsider. Broadband Connect was conceived in the pork barrel—there was never a serious attempt to find a market solution to the regional broadband deficit—and as a result, the resulting output has the consistency of, well, lard!

The original Broadband Connect mission was quite vague—to provide broadband to underserved areas—and it was an Optus submission to DCITA in early 2006 that probably best expressed an actually workable if not necessarily superior program objective: that it should specifically fund competitive infrastructure and create a duopoly of sorts in regional Australia.

Given that this is what the Opel proposal specifically entails, its fair to say that Optus was on the money as long as 16 months ago.

Indeed, Opel’s plan is less ambitious and radical than some might have us believe.

In terms of service delivery, much of it will simply entail the delivery of a wholesale ADSL2+ service over existing Telstra infrastructure—with a percentage of opex going back to Telstra in the form of $27 Band 3 ULL charges. This is nothing more than public subsidy for the resale of an existing unbundled network, albeit with the subsidy going to the reseller and not the network loop owner! (Surely the ACCC will have to abandon the pretence that a $2.50 line sharing charge is sustainable in regional areas when Telstra’s line rental charges would be lucky to recover three quarters of costs there, at best)

Customers outside the optimal ADSL2+ zone will be offered fixed 802.16d WiMax instead, again  hardly radical given the preponderance of regional wireless in Australia. But this is a technology that Telstra claims will not work. Telstra’s claims here are overblown, but there is a central truth in its opposition to the contract award.

Why hand $958m of public money to a proposal that is instantly crimped—and made less economic—by the use of sub-optimal spectrum? ACMA, and its antecedent ACA, have been talking about opening up spectrum for this very purpose  for years now—can there be a more compelling reason to bite the bullet on spectrum reform than extracting maximum value from $958m of public funding? That said, WiMax at 5.8GHz will work.

Claims that the use of unlicensed spectrum will create significant interference issues are simply incorrect and seem based on a misunderstanding of the sheer scale of spectrum available in that band. Indeed, referring to it as 5.8 is a misnomer, it should be more accurately described as 5.4 to 5.8 as the band plan provides 375 MHz of spectrum. With WiMax operating via a 10MHz carrier, that’s some giant multi-lane highway. A wireless broadband network could typically operate in less than one-tenth of the spectrum available in the 5.8 band.

FEW INTERFERENCE ISSUES: Jason Ashton of Big Air has been using 5.8GHz spectrum in the considerably more crowded Sydney metro area for nearly five years now and he tells me he could count the number of interference incidents in that time “on one hand.” WiMax has considerably better attributes than the souped up WiFi and proprietary systems currently in use—about twice the spectral efficiency and a media access controller policy that allocates a slot to each user at the session outset without the need for them to continually re-compete for spectrum resource.

There’s also a sweet irony in Telstra’s characterisation of fixed WiMax as a soon-to-be-orphaned technology. Funnily enough, one of the major global drivers behind fixed WiMax is the type of regulatory regime that Telstra would like to see implemented in Australia. Regulators in markets such as Saudi Arabia and Malaysia have observed the messiness and difficulties of local loop unbundling policies and have instead pursued the approach of multi-modal competition—specifically pushing WiMax as an enabler of broadband competition. Indeed, consultancy Maravedis estimates that 36% of all wireless broadband deployments in the world use 802.16d.

That said, Telstra still has legitimate questions to ask of Helen Coonan when they enter court tomorrow. It seems nonsensical to tip $958m into the creation of an artificial duopoly without an accompanying refit of spectrum policy, the under-funded universal service regime and the current dog’s breakfast of regulated access prices. The regulatory regime may well play catch up on some of these outstanding issues but one is hardly filled with confidence that it will get the settings right. The $958m cuts right through a great number of the assumptions that have driven inquiry after inquiry over the past ten years. But that’s what the cut through of electoral imperatives does to policy.

POLITICS: Indeed if there is a lesson to be learned here, it is that telecommunications is inherently political but that too many of its major players simply don’t get the politics. After all, just two of Australia’s 167 carriers—Optus and Macquarie—make donations to political parties (they both donate to both sides of politics). This is absolutely astonishing for a bunch of companies that depend so much on political and regulatory dispensation for their very existence, and especially when one considers the sums devoted to sports sponsorships of dubious marketing and brand merit.

I’m not from the school of thought that sees corporate donations to political parties as sordid—indeed it’s an essential aspect to sustaining the multi-party democracy we take for granted at a time when voluntary participation and activism from lay party members is ebbing away in the face of the demands of modern life.

It is no surprise that Optus might bag a contract like Broadband Connect because it has consistently shown it can read the political wind better than other carriers. It is the only carrier—alongside Macquarie—to participate meaningfully in the political process, not just through donations but through affiliate activities such as sponsorship of the Australian Local Government Association. Politics is about access, and access gives you the information you need to second guess the political process. (I don’t count entities like the Competitive Carriers’ Coalition or T4 as meaningful vehicles of political engagement—the CCC has less resources than a typical students union, T4 is little more than an eccentric website).

Consumer and competition law of the type that sustains the business cases of many of those 167 carriers is the direct result of multi-party democracy, the only system that reliably empowers consumers with a political voice. I’m sympathetic to those losing bidders who complain that they never even got a phone call as Opel was invited back in for DCITA pow wows, but in the end it was their failure to engage in the process and understand the presentational and political requirements of the paymaster that ensured their bids wouldn’t pass muster.

Anyone who has spent more than ten minutes with a Coonan staffer will learn that she is 100% driven by how her actions play with consumers. Personally I feel that such an approach sells short the historic mission of her particular government –which is partly to create a nation of self-reliant shareholders as much as regulation-sheltered consumers. But whatever the case, Coonan is concerned with the political perceptions of consumers. It might make for messy policy and a bad look to those in the know, but it’s simply a fact that Opel understood and others didn’t.  

- Grahame Lynch

Wimax works even if policy doesnt

I agree with most things you have written, but a couple things require further mention.

1/ BigAir's minimal interference experience is hardly an adequate testimonial. They have a minute customer base whose not trying to pickup a signal pushed great distances over difficult terrain.

2/ Benefits described by the Govt. reflect Mobile Wimax not fixed Wimax.

3/ Competing against Next G requires Mobile Wimax not fixed Wimax.

4/ Wimax consumer devices coming to market will not be suitable or performance will greatly diminished on 5.8Ghz. (Mobile Wimax will be native to 2.xxGhz Spectrum)

5/ Telstra not being Politically aware is laughable.
And regardless of how much better Optus may be at it if the Govt selectively advised one party of major attributes of the tender, thats coruption.

Going through this story in

Going through this story in sequence (mostly)

Well I must say I disagree in small part. BC *was* porkbarrelling but also an opportunistic move by the government towards a solution for the market problems - all, of course of the governments own making. Whether it is in the right direction or not remains to be seen.

The whole farce once again reminds me of the phrase 'you made your bed; you sleep in it' and that certainly rings true of the refusal to split telstra pre-deregulation (in the name of "keeping the share price intact" or in other words making a decent buck out of the sale). This has spectacularly come back to bite the Howard administration in the bum.

A lot of the problems currently dealt with in the telcoms industry are a direct result of this; I do agree. I dont agree that it was across the board porkbarreling for the OPEL exercise - but I don't write it out completely either. In some spaces yes in other no - there was an extant genuine need.

There is definitely an argument on underserved; though for me I must say if a rural area had a net service - metro comparable - but at, for examples sake, a $100000 dollar fee for service, I would call it underserved too, regardless of duplication.

How?

Underserved a) in terms of a product the average aussie (esp on the land) can *afford* and b) reasonably use in a way approaching metro areas. Every last scrap of Australia *could* be covered with a 100K product but those areas would be 'underserved' by any metric involving REAL data product that would be affordable and usable by those residents.

If a new entrant to the market duplicates infrastructure *but* makes a genuine effort to servicing the area - in a way that IS affordable to residents - that is a much better definition of 'served' than an area nominally "served" but out of reach of residents due to costs.

So; it is the best of times; it is the worst of times.... as yet the shakeout hasnt happened so it is not possible to say if the concept is one that is: -totally flawed, -workable but flawed or -the right decision for those rural aussies so long stooged by the incumbent.

By the bye i should comment - that portion of the OPEL rollout that will be terrestrial telstra resold ADSL service should really be making telstra happy - they may have not won the contract but they receive a share of the subsidy by proxy in that regard. I personally think they have zero grounds for their bleating and legal weight-throwing exercises over the 'loss' of business to OPEL - that is a furphy.

The ACCC banding argument is another thing but you must remember even if ACCC declares a $2.50 charge of which "telstra would be lucky to receive three quarters of" Telstra also has access to USO to defray that loss - should the applying ISP pay twice for USO, once to the government and then again to telstra? Double taxing is never popular regardless being a business or common taxpayer.

I have also heard it said that rural licenses for spectrum are actually a bit easier to come by - I honestly don't know the truth of this - whether there are oodles of rural 3.5 GHZ options or if there really *is* no choice but to use unlicensed 5.8 GHZ in those areas. Certainly the spectrum use wont be as crowded as in a metro area, one suspects - as you've rightly pointed out how much a given spectrum is in use in a given area will have a bearing on the outcome for the end user.

Anyway I found this a good article, and I have always found it interesting to see how other regions operate - the Malay and Saudi experiences are illuminating :) I also agree the regulatory regime for telcoms in Australia is broken - now may be a good time to investigate rebuilding from scratch. That may be a vain hope though...

I also agree that telcoms is inherently political - I read Ars Technica and the ongoing argument in many ways from FCC, baby bells, the cable/dsl duopoly, U-verse/FIOS rollouts, broadcast licenses and regulated-'ness' of that market vs genuine consumer service outcomes - particularly in rural areas - well I can understand where Sol is coming from but I have no wish to duplicate that here.

On the upside at least our telcoms market doesnt invest in astroturfing and fake 'grassroots campaigns' (NWAT excluded) to the extent that the US market does. I find that sordid - at least in the extent that such activity gets taken there - and thus it really is surprising and refreshing to hear there are two outed political donators - and they are bipartisan. I must agree that is astonishing.

I must disagree following this though - there are many 'minnow' ISPs (Internode comes to mind) who have attempted political dialogue with the minister, (among other ISPs) and been rebuffed. Meaningful participation could have been much broader had others than the 'big end' of town been included - again I call that the result of bad government policy.

The CCC and T4 (I suspect created as a result of these rebuffs) may be deemed irrelevant but I suspect that is because youve deemed on the same basis of the government - "you are too small and therefore have no say". Even minnows should have the right of reply.

However I feel the ultimate conclusion of the analysis is correct. OPEL understood and played the game - and they won for it.

Wimax Works - I'll stick to a burger with the Works.

Most Wireless ISP's in Europe who have used Wimax have abandoned
it. You want names, I'll supply them.
Your consultants figure of 36% Wireless installations for
Wimax doesnt hold water. I've been to international conferences
with hundreds of ISP's attending, using a variety of equipment
where it didnt rate a mention.
Its an overhyped, over-powered system that works moderately
well in city environments where there are are hard reflective
surfaces where the multipath reflections work well,
where the additional noise floor created by its crappy
signal doesnt matter shit.
In the tree bound suburbs or in the regions, forget it.
A brush turkey sitting on a branch will stop it dead, especially
at 5ghz. You cant argue with the laws of physics in regard to
power and absorption, especially when you've increased the noise
that you're trying to hear a distant signal against, by trying
to blast your way through and around the obstacles.

I think that the Opel plan

I think that the Opel plan is a good policy. It creates a real infrastructure competitor to Telstra Countrywide. Competitive fibre and DSLAMs will be installed in almost every country town. So what if Telstra retains the copper loop? Right now in many country areas Telstra owns everything, and charges through the nose for backhaul. The reason Telstra is fighting so hard against the plan is because it knows it’s monopoly in the country is coming to an end; and that is going to cost it a fortune.